Research & Policy Brief

The current public service strike has brought to the fore the bitter nature of the power struggle at play in the ruling ANC/SACP/COSATU alliance. Our current assessment is that factions in the alliance, perhaps led by the ANC Youth League, are preparing to execute a political coup at the ANC’s 2012 conference in Bloemfontein. At its most serious this political shift may include the axing of Jacob Zuma and his forced resignation as president of South Africa.

At the very least infighting ahead of the 2012 conference will continue to destabilize the alliance. This will have the effect of destabilizing the broader policy environment in the country and therefore causing a rise in levels of uncertainty about the future of the country.

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South Africa Survey
DemographicsThe Demographics chapter provides a comprehensive overview of the South African population from 1985-2008. The data is further broken down into population size by race, sex, and age. It also includes population growth forecasts up until 2021.
The EconomyThe Economy chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09 provides a comprehensive overview of the South African economy from 1955 to 2008. Information is provided on gross domestic product (GDP) growth for each of the years, GDP per head, the rand-dollar exchange rate, and the current account surplus or deficit, among other information.
Employment & IncomesThe Employment and Incomes chapter of the South Africa Survey 2008/09 provides a comprehensive overview of employment and incomes in the country. The chapter begins with an overview of the South African labour market. Data on employed and unemployed people is given, as well as information on the economically active population.
Business and LabourThe Business and Labour chapter begins with a review of business in South Africa, looking at the number of enterprises that exist in South Africa. An overview is also given of SMME businesses in the country. There is also a review of state-owned enterprises, with information on turnover, revenue, and employees at these organisations.
EducationThe Education chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09, provides a comprehensive overview of education in South Africa.
Health & WelfareThe Health & Welfare chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09, provides a comprehensive overview of healthcare and social welfare in South Africa.
Living Conditions & CommunicationsThe Living Conditions & Communications chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09, provides a comprehensive overview of living conditions in South Africa, along with a breakdown of communications infrastructure.
Crime & SecurityThe Crime & Security chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09, provides a comprehensive overview of Crime, the Justice system, and overall security in South Africa.
Politics & GovernmentThe Politics & Government chapter in the South Africa Survey 2008/09, provides an overall breakdown of electoral trends since 1994, along with international governance comparisons.
Find out more about the Survey

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Unit for Risk Analysis

URAThe Unit for Risk Analysis is designed to inform business, political, government, and diplomatic leaders about risks likely to emerge on South Africa’s social, economic, and political horizon. The Unit reviews all the Institute’s research outputs through the prism of future risk.

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The Long Shadow of Apartheid
the-long-shadow-of-apartheid.jpgThe Institute’s research on changing racial sentiment in South Africa since 1994 has been published under the title The Long Shadow of Apartheid: Race in South Africa since 1994. The research includes interviews with senior business and academic leaders in South Africa.
Find out more about the book launch